KR11 - Paper 11 - Spot Early with Bayes

Spot Early with Bayes

https://open.substack.com/pub/articlevil/p/spot-early-with-bayes?r=9px6r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true


Usecase 1: Spot MLM

  1. I don’t like MLM marketing and I consider it as a scam. When some random person calling and explaining about a business opportunity I should use Bayes theory to decide how much probability the person is about MLM pitching.

  2. Assume they explain the business in three lines. I should calculate the probability in each line

  3. How to explain this to a non technical person

  4. How about technical analysis with 5 lines instead of 3 lines

  5. Now do this 10 lines instead of 5

  6. Do the same table format for 3 lines and 5 lines

Spot MLM Scam Early with Bayes: https://chatgpt.com/share/6938b0c4-efe8-8002-90c7-ac38bea077e1

https://www.kimi.com/share/19b05724-b0d2-86be-8000-00005d0ef78b

https://chat.deepseek.com/share/uktf1e6dabttmessx9

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